Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 9.735302 11.272145 12.919977 14.812211 16.918838 19.185905 21.803760
2025-03-16 7.587759 9.549718 11.789126 14.513905 17.718138 21.344755 25.736889
2025-03-23 6.329633 8.549078 11.217839 14.620954 18.799676 23.716688 29.889482
2025-03-30 5.334629 7.683599 10.643280 14.575796 19.587042 25.679710 33.559176
2025-04-06 4.652513 7.101776 10.319143 14.750337 20.579432 27.864554 37.521790
2025-04-13 4.100839 6.609848 10.035359 14.909751 21.506719 29.954330 41.396000
2025-04-20 3.732620 6.320208 9.977132 15.332476 22.761264 32.474139 45.871499
2025-04-27 3.381609 6.007410 9.843926 15.617568 23.813695 34.738450 50.061551
2025-05-04 3.001793 5.601674 9.530738 15.606960 24.431354 36.416960 53.502222
2025-05-11 2.517722 4.968932 8.816639 14.949186 24.079706 36.735730 55.091817
2025-05-18 2.199941 4.569426 8.418370 14.719281 24.307138 37.833250 57.745370
2025-05-25 1.903648 4.168169 7.977322 14.383060 24.343548 38.640709 59.995446
2025-06-01 1.675985 3.863605 7.669471 14.235401 24.654516 39.852806 62.859605
2025-06-08 1.442507 3.515720 7.254641 13.880905 24.620210 40.547590 64.990501
2025-06-15 1.304652 3.335593 7.111923 13.956968 25.246684 42.220048 68.560773
2025-06-22 1.163826 3.129460 6.902602 13.902189 25.654303 43.567680 71.680699
2025-06-29 1.066978 3.002876 6.826234 14.065569 26.411031 45.454941 75.632833
2025-07-06 0.978344 2.881761 6.748256 14.217096 27.147558 47.324387 79.595032
2025-07-13 0.926480 2.837565 6.813387 14.623314 28.315139 49.884054 84.645249
2025-07-20 0.864677 2.761160 6.807647 14.897522 29.266830 52.126921 89.259863
2025-07-27 0.780617 2.617605 6.653687 14.887160 29.730540 53.608911 92.740390
2025-08-03 0.650859 2.334668 6.184591 14.253707 29.090793 53.311458 93.466514
2025-08-10 0.570409 2.167019 5.941739 14.032350 29.151330 54.127795 95.925229